The Office for Health Improvement & Disparities (OHID) also reports excess deaths for England
For 2023, they reported 25,641 excess deaths
The ‘New’ #ONS method reports just 10,206 excess deaths
A 60% reduction in excess
OHID already adjusts for population shifts
Until 2023, the correlation between OICD and #ONS was pretty tight
We only see a significant disparity in 2023, when the ONS attempts to bury 20,000 #ExcessDeaths
The fix is in
Different measurements of Excess Death in England 2023:
ONS (New)
10,206
ONS (Old)
25,863
OHID
25,641
CMI Continuous Mortality Investigations
29,500
OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation & Development
41,500 (W44)
Our World in Data
43,000
ONS (5YA 2015-19)
46,600
The ONS confirmed that they reviewed all of these other organisations measure of excess …. But in the end they settled on matching the one that provided the LOWEST excess …..
…….the Poisson log-linear regression model promoted by the World Health Organisation!!!
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