Zombie Apocalypse: Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London

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Zombie Apocalypse: Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London

Unread post by rachel »

This is from a Muppet Show post, but I think it is worth considering in its own right given the spurious credentials of Professor Neil Ferguson, and the fact this is the only reference to his work he makes on his twitter feed prior to 2020. That's over 10 years of silence. Also, the Canadian author of the paper has a name which includes a question mark at the end, - "Professor Smith?" - so that suggests it is a stage name/legal identity. You don't have to have the qualifications to have the stage name of professor, do you, Professor Brian Cox?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8206280.stm
BBC News: Science ponders 'zombie attack'
Page last updated at 13:26 GMT, Tuesday, 18 August 2009 14:26 UK

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If zombies actually existed, an attack by them would lead to the collapse of civilisation unless dealt with quickly and aggressively.

That is the conclusion of a mathematical exercise carried out by researchers in Canada.

They say only frequent counter-attacks with increasing force would eradicate the fictional creatures.

The scientific paper is published in a book - Infectious Diseases Modelling Research Progress.

In books, films, video games and folklore, zombies are undead creatures, able to turn the living into other zombies with a bite.

But there is a serious side to the work.

In some respects, a zombie "plague" resembles a lethal, rapidly spreading infection. The researchers say the exercise could help scientists model the spread of unfamiliar diseases through human populations.

In their study, the researchers from the University of Ottawa and Carleton University (also in Ottawa) posed a question: If there was to be a battle between zombies and the living, who would win?

Professor Robert Smith? (the question mark is part of his surname and not a typographical mistake) and colleagues wrote: "We model a zombie attack using biological assumptions based on popular zombie movies.

"We introduce a basic model for zombie infection and illustrate the outcome with numerical solutions."

To give the living a fighting chance, the researchers chose "classic" slow-moving zombies as our opponents rather than the nimble, intelligent creatures portrayed in some recent films.

"While we are trying to be as broad as possible in modelling zombies - especially as there are many variables - we have decided not to consider these individuals," the researchers said.

Back for good?

Even so, their analysis revealed that a strategy of capturing or curing the zombies would only put off the inevitable.

In their scientific paper, the authors conclude that humanity's only hope is to "hit them [the undead] hard and hit them often".

They added: "It's imperative that zombies are dealt with quickly or else... we are all in a great deal of trouble."

According to the researchers, the key difference between the zombies and the spread of real infections is that "zombies can come back to life".

Professor Neil Ferguson, who is one of the UK government's chief advisers on controlling the spread of swine flu, said the study did have parallels with some infectious diseases.

"None of them actually cause large-scale death or disease, but certainly there are some fungal infections which are difficult to eradicate," said Professor Ferguson, from Imperial College London.

"There are some viral infections - simple diseases like chicken pox have survived in very small communities. If you get it when you are very young, the virus stays with you and can re-occur as shingles, triggering a new chicken pox epidemic."

Professor Smith? told BBC News: "When you try to model an unfamiliar disease, you try to find out what's happening, try to approximate it. You then refine it, go back and try again."

"We refined the model again and again to say... here's how you would tackle an unfamiliar disease."

Professor Ferguson went on to joke: "The paper considers something that many of us have worried about - particularly in our younger days - of what would be a feasible way of tackling an outbreak of a rapidly spreading zombie infection.

"My understanding of zombie biology is that if you manage to decapitate a zombie then it's dead forever. So perhaps they are being a little over-pessimistic when they conclude that zombies might take over a city in three or four days."

We do appear to be in a zombie apocalypse, switch out globalist tools, we just didn't realise what nature the zombies would take. But given the article was published in 2009 and Neil Ferguson is the talking head, unfortunately I can't retrieve the Radio 4 Today audio, But it does kind of suggest where we are is all to plan.
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Re: Zombie Apocalypse

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Slow moving zombies.

Look at the guy, he's thinking about taking their heads off. There is going to be a point where a drive will just mow down these globalist tools. And the police, when present, just facilitate the hate and violence.



The thing is, if you listen to the second clip, there is no English being spoken; which is not surprising, because it's London. English people can't afford to live in London, they are a minority in the capital city. Those Just Stop Oil protesters were almost certainly bussed in from the outskirts. I can guarantee they didn't use their own money to get to that road, and yet how much pollution are they creating by stopping cars?

The Green Movement = The Hypocrisy Movement.

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Re: Zombie Apocalypse

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From the study, "WHEN ZOMBIES ATTACK!: MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF AN OUTBREAK OF ZOMBIE INFECTION". I've just copied the premise and conclusion, the middle section is the modelling. Is this about the control of infectious diseases, or is it the modelling of something else? When someone becomes aware of government lies, do they forget, or do they "infect" other people?

Does the scenario produced by the School of Mathematics and Statistics at Carleton University and the Department of Mathematics and Faculty of Medicine at The University of Ottawa have any bearing on the tactics employed against Canadian citizens during the COVID-19 scamdemic? What do we think?

Research paper:
Zombies.pdf
(302.25 KiB) Downloaded 41 times
1. Introduction

A zombie is a reanimated human corpse that feeds on living human flesh [1]. Stories about zombies originated in the Afro-Caribbean spiritual belief system of Vodou (anglicised voodoo). These stories described people as being controlled by a powerful sorcerer. The walking dead became popular in the modern horror fiction mainly because of the success of George A. Romero’s 1968 film, Night of the Living Dead [2]. There are several possible etymologies of the word zombie. One of the possible origins isjumbie, which comes from the Carribean term for ghost. Another possible origin is the wordnzambiwhich in Kongo means ‘spirit of a dead person’. According to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, the word zombie originates from the wordzonbi, used in the Louisiana Creole or the Haitian Creole. According to the Creole culture, a zonbi represents a person who died and was then brought to life without speech or free will.

The followers of Vodou believe that a dead person can be revived by a sorcerer [3]. After being revived, the zombies remain under the control of the sorcerer because they have no will of their own. Zombi is also another name for a Voodoo snake god. It is said that the sorcerer uses a ‘zombie powder’ for the zombification. This powder contains an extremely powerful neurotoxin that temporarily paralyzes the human nervous system and it creates a state of hibernation. The main organs, such as the heart and lungs, and all of the bodily functions, operate at minimal levels during this state of hibernation. What turns these human beings into zombies is the lack of oxygen to the brain. As a result of this, they suffer from brain damage.

A popular belief in the Middle Ages was that the souls of the dead could return to earth one day and haunt the living [4]. In France, during the Middle Ages, they believed that the dead would usually awaken to avenge some sort of crime committed against them during their life. These awakened dead took the form of an emaciated corpse and they wandered around graveyards at night. The idea of the zombie also appears in several other cultures, such as China, Japan, the Pacific, India, Persia, the Arabs and the Americas.

Modern zombies (the ones illustrated in books, films and games [1, 5]) are very different from the voodoo and the folklore zombies. Modern zombies follow a standard, as set in the movie Night of the Living Dead [2]. The ghouls are portrayed as being mindless monsters who do not feel pain and who have an immense appetite for human flesh. Their aim is to kill, eat or infect people. The ‘undead’ move in small, irregular steps, and show signs of physical decomposition such as rotting flesh, discoloured eyes and open wounds. Modern zombies are often related to an apocalypse, where civilization could collapse due to a plague of the undead. The background stories behind zombie movies, video games etc, are purposefully vague and inconsistent in explaining how the zombies came about in the first place. Some ideas include radiation (Night of the Living Dead [2]), exposure to airborne viruses (Resident Evil [6]), mutated diseases carried by various vectors (Dead Rising [7] claimed it was from bee stings of genetically altered bees). Shaun of the Dead [8] made fun of this by not allowing the viewer to determine what actually happened.

When a susceptible individual is bitten by a zombie, it leaves an open wound. The wound created by the zombie has the zombie’s saliva in and around it. This bodily fluid mixes with the blood, thus infecting the (previously susceptible) individual.

The zombie that we chose to model was characterised best by the popular-culture zombie. The basic assumptions help to form some guidelines as to the specific type of zombie we seek to model (which will be presented in the next section). The model zombie is of the classical pop-culture zombie: slow moving, cannibalistic and undead. There are other ‘types’ of zombies, characterised by some movies like 28 Days Later [9] and the 2004 remake of Dawn of the Dead [10]. These ‘zombies’ can move faster, are more independent and much smarter than their classical counterparts. While we are trying to be as broad as possible in modelling zombies - especially since there are many varieties - we have decided not to consider these individuals.


7. Discussion

An outbreak of zombies infecting humans is likely to be disastrous, unless extremely aggressive tactics are employed against the undead. While aggressive quarantine may eradicate the infection, this is unlikely to happen in practice. A cure would only result in some humans surviving the outbreak, although they will still coexist with zombies. Only sufficiently frequent attacks, with increasing force, will result in eradication, assuming the available resources can be mustered in time.

Furthermore, these results assumed that the timescale of the outbreak was short, so that the natural birth and death rates could be ignored. If the timescale of the outbreak increases, then the result is the doomsday scenario: an outbreak of zombies will result in the collapse of civilisation, with every human infected, or dead. This is because human births and deaths will provide the undead with a limitless supply of new bodies to infect, resurrect and convert. Thus, if zombies arrive, we must act quickly and decisively to eradicate them before they eradicate us.

The key difference between the models presented here and other models of infectious disease is that the dead can come back to life. Clearly, this is an unlikely scenario if taken literally, but possible real-life applications may include allegiance to political parties, or diseases with a dormant infection.

This is, perhaps unsurprisingly, the first mathematical analysis of an outbreak of zombie infection. While the scenarios considered are obviously not realistic, it is nevertheless instructive to develop mathematical models for an unusual outbreak. This demonstrates the flexibility of mathematical modelling and shows how modelling can respond to a wide variety of challenges in ‘biology’.

In summary, a zombie outbreak is likely to lead to the collapse of civilisation, unless it is dealt with quickly. While aggressive quarantine may contain the epidemic, or a cure may lead to coexistence of humans and zombies, the most effective way to contain the rise of the undead is to hit hard and hit often. As seen in the movies, it is imperative that zombies are dealt with quickly, or else we are all in a great deal of trouble.


References
  1. Brooks, Max, 2003 The Zombie Survival Guide - Complete Protection from the Living Dead, Three Rivers Press, pp. 2-23.
  2. Romero, George A. (writer, director), 1968 Night of the Living Dead.
  3. Davis, Wade, 1988 Passage of Darkness - The Ethnobiology of the Haitian Zombie, Simon and Schuster pp. 14, 60-62.
  4. Davis, Wade, 1985 The Serpent and the Rainbow, Simon and Schuster pp. 17-20, 24, 32.
  5. Williams, Tony, 2003 Knight of the Living Dead - The Cinema of George A. Romero, Wallflower Press pp.12-14.
  6. Capcom, Shinji Mikami (creator), 1996-2007 Resident Evil.
  7. Capcom, Keiji Inafune (creator), 2006 Dead Rising.
  8. Pegg, Simon (writer, creator, actor), 2002 Shaun of the Dead.
  9. Boyle, Danny (director), 2003 28 Days Later.
  10. Snyder, Zack (director), 2004 Dawn of the Dead.
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Neil Ferguson, Club of Rome

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Extract from part one of of three part article by YOGAESOTERIC, February 5, 2023
PART 1: https://yogaesoteric.net/en/the-club-of ... g-mafia-1/
PART 2: https://yogaesoteric.net/en/the-club-of ... g-mafia-2/
PART 3: https://yogaesoteric.net/en/the-club-of ... g-mafia-3/

The Club of Rome and the Rise of the “Predictive Modelling” Mafia (1)

While many are now familiar with the manipulation of predictive modelling during the covid-19 crisis, a network of powerful Malthusians have used the same tactics for the better part of the last century in order to sell and impose their agenda.

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While much propaganda has gone into convincing the world that eugenics disappeared with the defeat of Hitler in 1945, the reality is far removed from this popular fantasy.

It's worth remembering the origins of cybernetics as a new “science of control” created during World War II by a nest of followers of Lord Bertrand Russell who had one mission as their goal. This mission was to shape the thinking of both the public as well as a new managerial elite class who would serve as instruments for a power they were incapable of understanding.

Also, consider the science of limits that was infused into the scientific community at the turn of the 20th century with the imposition of the assumption that humanity, the biosphere, and even the universe itself were closed systems, defined by the second law of thermodynamics (aka: entropy) and thus governed by the tendency towards decay, heat death and ever-decreasing potential for creative transformation. The field of cybernetics would also become the instrument used to advance a new global eugenics movement that later gave rise to transhumanism, an ideology which today sits at the heart of the 4th industrial revolution as well as the “Great Reset.”

In this article, we will evaluate how this sleight of hand occurred and how the consciousness of the population and governing class alike has been induced to participate in our own annihilation. Hopefully, in the course of this exercise, we will better appreciate what modes of thinking can still be revived in order to ensure a better future more becoming of a species of dignity.


Neil Ferguson’s Sleight of Hand

In May 2020, Imperial College’s Neil Ferguson was forced to resign from his post as the head of the UK’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE). The public reason given was Neil’s amorous escapades with a married woman during a draconian lockdown in the UK at the height of the first wave of hysterics. Neil should have also been removed from all his positions at the UN, WHO and Imperial College (most of which he continues to hold) and probably jailed for his role in knowingly committing fraud for two decades.

After all, Neil was not only personally responsible for the lockdowns that were imposed onto the people of the UK, Canada, much of Europe and the USA, but as the world’s most celebrated mathematical modeller, he had been the innovator of models used to justify crisis management and pandemic forecasting since at least December 2000.

It was at this time that Neil joined Imperial College after spending years at Oxford. He soon found himself advising the UK government on the new “foot and mouth” outbreak of 2001. [see Slaughtered on Suspicion]

Neil went to work producing statistical models extrapolating linear trend lines into the future and came to the conclusion that over 150,000 people would be dead by the disease unless 11 million sheep and cattle were killed. Farms were promptly decimated by government decree and Neil was awarded an Order of the British Empire for his service to the cause by creating scarcity through a manufactured health crisis.

In 2002, Neil used his mathematical models to predict that 50,000 people would die of Mad Cow Disease which ended up seeing a total of only 177 deaths.

In 2005, Neil again aimed for the sky and predicted 150 million people would die of Bird Flu. His computer models missed the mark by 149,999,718 deaths when only 282 people died of the disease between 2003-2008.

In 2009, Neil’s models were used again by the UK government to predict 65,000 deaths due to Swine flu, which ended up killing about 457 people.

Despite his track record of embarrassing failures, Neil continued to find his star rising ever further into the stratosphere of science stardom. He soon became the Vice Dean of Imperial College’s Faculty of Medicine and a global expert of infectious diseases.

In 2019, he was assigned to head the World Health Organization’s Collaboration Center for Infectious Disease Modelling, a position he continues to hold to this day. It was at this time that his outdated models were used to “predict” 500,000 covid deaths in the UK and two million deaths in the USA unless total lockdowns were imposed in short order. Under the thin veneer of “science”, his word became law and much of the world fell into lockstep chanting “two weeks to flatten the curve.”

Predictive model taken from the March 16 paper authored by Imperial College London’s Covid-19 Response Team, led by Neil M. Ferguson, “Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce covid-19 mortality and healthcare demand”
Predictive model taken from the March 16 paper authored by Imperial College London’s Covid-19 Response Team, led by Neil M. Ferguson, “Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce covid-19 mortality and healthcare demand”

When Neil was pressed to make the code used to generate his models available to the public for scrutiny in late 2020 (after it was discovered that the code was over 13 years old), he refused to budge, eventually releasing a heavily redacted version which was all but useless for analysis.

A Google software engineer with 30 years experience writing (under a pseudonym) for The Daily Skeptic analyzed the redacted code and had this to say:
  • "It isn’t the code Ferguson ran to produce his famous Report. What’s been released on GitHub is a heavily modified derivative of it, after having been upgraded for over a month by a team from Microsoft and others. This revised codebase is split into multiple files for legibility and written in C++, whereas the original program was a single 15,000 line file that had been worked on for a decade (this is considered extremely poor practice). A request for the original code was made but ignored, and it will probably take some kind of legal compulsion to make them release it. Clearly, Imperial are too embarrassed by the state of it ever to release it of their own free will, which is unacceptable given that it was paid for by the taxpayers and belongs to them."
Besides taxpayers, the author should have also included Bill Gates, as his foundation donated millions of dollars to Imperial College and Neil directly over the course of two decades, but we’ll forgive her for leaving that one out.


Monte Carlo Methods: How the Universe Became a Casino

The Daily Skeptic author went further to strike at the heart of Neil’s fraud when she nailed the underlying stochastic function at the heart of Neil’s predictive models. She writes:
  • "‘Stochastic’ is just a scientific-sounding word for ‘random.’ That’s not a problem if the randomness is intentional pseudo-randomness, i.e. the randomness is derived from a starting ‘seed’ which is iterated to produce the random numbers. Such randomness is often used in Monte Carlo techniques. It’s safe because the seed can be recorded and the same (pseudo-)random numbers produced from it in future."
The author is right to identify the stochastic (aka; random) probability function at the heart of Neil’s models, and also correctly zeroes in on the blatant fudging of data and code to generate widely irrational outcomes that have zero connection to reality. However, being a Google programmer who had herself been processed in an “information theory” environment, which presumes randomness to be at the heart of all reality, the author makes a blundering error by presuming that Monte Carlo techniques would somehow be useful in making predictions of future crises. As we will soon see, Monte Carlo techniques are a core problem across all aspects of human thought and policy making.

The Monte Carlo technique itself got its name from information theorist John von Neumann and his colleague Stanlislaw Ulam who saw in the chance rolling of dice at casino roulette tables the key to analyze literally every non-linear system in existence – from atomic decay, to economic behavior, neuroscience, climatology, biology, and even theories of galaxy-formation. The Monte Carlo Casino in Morocco was the role model selected by von Neumann and Ulam to be used as the ideal blueprint that was assumed to shape all creation.

According to the official website for The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORM), it didn’t take long for Monte Carlo Methods to be adopted by the RAND Corporation and the U.S. Air force. The INFORM site states:
  • "Although not invented at RAND, the powerful mathematical technique known as the Monte Carlo method received much of its early development at RAND in the course of research on a variety of Air Force and atomic weapon problems. RAND’s main contributions to Monte Carlo lie in the early development of two tools: generating random numbers, and the systematic development of variance-reduction techniques."
RAND Corporation was the driving force for the adoption of cybernetics as the science of control within US foreign policy circles during the Cold War...


My feeling, Neil Ferguson is a composite figure setup to take the blame, a front for something else entirely. The fact he was apparently sacked for an affair, but kept all his "THE SCIENCE" related jobs internationally, might be because the person who turned up to read the lines on camera refused to continue, or was pulled out so they could use him again in the future.
rachel wrote: Wed May 17, 2023 8:29 pm Going back to twitter, this is Neil Ferguson's account, he has 51 tweets and 133.6K followers. He apparently joined in March 2008. And he hasn't tweeted since 25 Apr 2020.

https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/with_replies
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I was interested to see, since the account has apparently been active from 2008, if there were any Wayback grabs. The first is 10 Mar 2020, at that point the account had 24 tweets and 18.5K followers.

https://web.archive.org/web/20200310221 ... l_ferguson
Image

[continues...]
Link to the start of a series of observations about Neil Ferguson:
viewtopic.php?p=9120#p9120
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Re: Neil Ferguson

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Another @_Escapekey_ dump, continuing about Neil Ferguson.


I promise I will cut back on ESWI posting, because that horse is dead. But this is bad. Very bad.

This is the output of an ESWI all-star panel featuring Neil Ferguson -

'Even if 99% of all travel is stopped, which would be severely disruptive for a modern economy, it might slow down the spread by only some weeks. Such restrictions are only useful very early in a pandemic'

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YOU.

YOU RUINED COUNTLESS LIVES WITH YOU TOTAL LIES.

YOU KNEW.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperi ... 3-2020.pdf

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Neil Ferguson promoted advice which he knew wouldn't work already in 2009. [I WOULD AGAIN SUGGEST THIS IS BECAUSE NEIL FERGUSON IS A COMPOSITE CHARACTER USED FOR PUSHING A NARRATIVE, AND NOT ACTUALLY A REAL PERSON.]

... and cue impressions being choked off, because if this doesn't show you that the scamdemic was all lies, then what will?

Neil Ferguson knew his March 16, 2020 recommendations wouldn't work already in 2009

actually, forgot to take a dump on Van Kerkhove, whose black, dead eyes strike me as though I'm looking at Medusa

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she, naturally, is just ecstatic to work with big phar-, er ESWI.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maria_Van_Kerkhove

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OMFG - she actually worked for the WHO at the time of release of that newsletter!

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